Stock Picks Today: Defence Stocks, Axis Bank, Allied Blenders, L&T, Kotak Mahindra Bank On Brokerages’ Radar

Stock Picks Today: Defence Stocks, Axis Bank, Allied Blenders, L&T, Kotak Mahindra Bank On Brokerages' Radar

Defence stocks, Axis Bank Ltd., Allied Blenders and Distillers Ltd., Larsen and Toubro Ltd., Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd., auto stocks, real estate stocks and cement sector, are among the companies garnering brokerage commentary today.

Analysts have shared their insights and, in several cases, revised their target prices based on their updated fundamental outlooks for these firms. Here are the key analyst calls to watch out for today:

Morgan Stanley on Axis Bank

Maintain overweight; Hike target price to Rs 1,450 from Rs 1,325

Revisiting the turnaround story

Bank has taken significant additional steps over the past year

Bank should get traction as the macro climate improves

Expect re-rating relative to large private banks to be gradual

Expect trends in all three drivers – i.e., NIMs, growth, and credit costs – to turn positive

Extent will be linked to the pace of macro recovery

Benefits of the bank’s strategic decisions could be visible over the next 2-3 years

But until then, expect the valuation gap to remain wide

Key drivers for structural re-rating will be narrowing of retail deposit growth differentials and loan spreads vs. large banks

Morgan Stanley on Indian Markets

Gunning for Growth

Equity market may be underestimating the likely turn in the growth cycle

While global factors matter for India’s relative performance, in our view, the earnings and market peak is still in front of us

India’s low beta implies outperformance in a global bear market but underperformance in a bull market

The growth pivot is for real

Domestic Cyclicals > Defensives and External-facing sectors

Overweight Financials, Consumer Discretionary, and Industrials

Underweight Energy, Materials, Utilities, and Healthcare

Jefferies on Allied Blenders

Maintain buy with target price of Rs 620

Backward integration plans remain on track with recent addition of a PET bottle manufacturing facility and work underway on a malt distillery

Single malt launch likely in 4-5 years

These factors along with distillery expansion in Maharashtra, to drive 300bps margin uplift over FY25-28e and strengthen franchise in key states

Goldman Sachs on Havells India

Add Havells India to the APAC Conviction List

Havells as well-placed for a growth revival over the next few years

New capacity in core categories and GST cuts across various consumption categories to support growth

Forecasts Havells to grow at 19% in FY27 and 16% in FY28, from a weak base of 8% in FY26

Goldman Sachs on Defence Stocks

Solar Industries – Initiate Buy with target price of Rs 18,215

PTC Industries – Initiate Buy with target price of Rs 2,4725

Astra Microwave – Initiate Buy with target price of Rs 1,455

Data Patterns – Initiate Buy with target price of Rs 3,640

Azad Engineering – Initiate Buy with target price of Rs 2,055

BEL – Initiate Buy with target price of Rs 455

Hindustan Aeronautics – Initiate Neutral with target price of Rs 5,255

Bharat Dynamics – Initiate Sell with target price of Rs 1,375

Morgan Stanley on Real Estate Stocks

Q2 – Not Weak Despite Seasonality

Expect the top five developers to register Q2 pre-sales of Rs 11000 cr – +44% YoY

H1 has reached 55% of full-year 2026 estimate

For Q2, expect Godrej and DLF to report stronger pre-sales than consensus expects

Lodha and Oberoi could disappoint

JP Morgan on Auto Stocks

September 2025: a month where commentary matters more than data

Maruti underperformed industry in wholesale while retail was in-line; Hero still a key laggard in retail

M&M continues to outperform in PVs and Tractors

2W wholesale and retail delivered similar outcomes

Goldman Sachs on L&T

Maintain neutral with target price of Rs 3,540

Expect a good quarter; market focus to shift to FY27

Expect healthy double digit growth in revenue, Ebitda and PAT driven by a strong order book

Order inflow growth of 15% year-on-year

Expect EPC and installation of offshore structures in Middle East to be included

Expect 20 bps improvement in core Ebitda margins at 7.8%

CLSA on Auto Stocks

GST cut-led demand enhancement and festive season driven retail demand

TVS and Royal Enfield gain retail share YoY as volumes climb 17% YoY and 43% YoY

In PVs, EVs grew at much higher pace of 163% YoY, followed by CNG at 33% YoY

CV sales increased by 7% YoY while M&HCV remained flat YoY

Morgan Stanley on Kotak Mahindra Bank

Maintain overweight with target price of Rs 2,600

Believe the share price will rise relative to the industry over the next 30 days

Remain positive given its strong setup and exposure to segments that benefit from macro recovery

After two years of headwinds, the bank is now on the front foot with rising disbursements and stable margins

Expect core PPoP/EPS growth to return to 18-20% from FY27

Improving spreads, easing supply-side constraints, and strong profitability support re-rating potential

Jefferies on Private Banks

Status Quo on Rates Is a Relief for Private Banks; tad negative for NBFCs/ small-banks

ECL transition will start from Apr-27, and the impact of the one-time charge can be partly offset by the lower risk weight/ spread over 5 years

RBI also relaxed restrictions on bank loans that will aid credit growth

Stay positive on HDFC, Axis, ICICI, SBI

Jefferies on Cement Stocks

Cement prices hold as intense monsoon ends

Cement prices (ex-GST related changes) was marginally lower by 0.5% MoM

YTD FY26 price is tracking 5-6% higher YoY vs FY26 est of +4% YoY

For Q2, price (ex-GST) remained relatively steady (1-1.5% dip QoQ), despite severe monsoons hurting demand

GST rate cut from 28% to 18% has reflected on cement cos passing the benefit

Petcoke/fuel have inched up recently (to impact Q4)

Higher RM prices, could push companies to price hikes from Nov/Q4

Like Ambuja, UltraTech and JK Cement

CLSA on Nifty Outlook

Outlook for the Nifty remains unchanged as the lack of follow through has resulted in the market consolidating within a newly defined range

This range currently spans between 24,337–24,432 on the lower end and 25,448–25,669 on the upper end

Crucially, just below the lower boundary of this newly established range lies a key zone of support

Area represents the confluence of the 200-DMA and the upper boundary of the February-April basing pattern

As long as price action holds above this critical support level, there is a case for continuing to favour the upside

Eventual resumption of the February-April double bottom pattern that still provides a measured target of 26,333

Sreenivasulu Malkari

💻 Freelance Trading Tech Specialist | 15+ yrs in markets Expert in algo trading, automation & psychology-driven strategies 📈 Empowering traders with smart, affordable tools

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